Unpredictable Election, Panel Discussion – Hobart and William Smith Colleges \
The HWS Update

Unpredictable Election, Panel Discussion

In a presidential race that has been unpredictable since before the primaries, Professor of Political Science Iva Deutchman is hesitant to comment on the possible outcome.

“A lot can happen in a month.  If you jump out too quickly, you can end up looking like a fool – anything could happen,” says Deutchman.

To examine the upcoming election, the Presidential debates and the ramifications of a Democrat or GOP White House for the next four years, Deutchman will join Assistant Professor of Political Science Joseph Mink, Associate Professor of Political Science DeWayne Lucas and President Mark D. Gearan in an election discussion on Tuesday, Oct. 23, at 7 p.m. at the Finger Lakes Gifts & Lounge on Seneca Street in Geneva.

Despite her hesitancy to predict our next president, Deutchman does foresee discussing what either a Romney win or loss would mean for the Republican Party.

“If Romney loses, that has huge implications for where the GOP goes,” explains Deutchman. “There were not a lot of sparkling, energetic GOP candidates in the primaries.”

Deutchman believes that the panel will cover possible outcomes of the election, as well as what each would mean for the House and the Senate. Another large portion of the panel discussion will be dedicated to the “Battleground States.” Questions concerning early voting, the amount of money being poured into campaigning and advertising in these areas and their true influence on the results of the election will be addressed.

Mink will bring a historical approach to the panel, examining how U.S. political institutions have changed over time. Depending on how Obama fairs in the election, says Mink, the American perception of what it means to be President could shift dramatically.

“I think already, the way in which we’re thinking about the presidency has changed,” he says.

Lucas sees the panel as an opportunity for the community to better understand the electoral system – particularly in the context of this contentious race. “I think this panel will put into context the state of the election today, not just the presidential race but congressional races in general,” says Lucas. “I hope it will give the audience an opportunity to ask questions about fundamental and complex issues in the election.”

Prior to serving as Director of the Peace Corps, Gearan served in the White House as Assistant to the President and Director of Communications, as well as Deputy Chief of Staff during the Clinton administration. During the 1992 presidential campaign, he was Al Gore’s campaign manager, segueing to the position of Deputy Director of President-elect Clinton’s transition team.

Transportation back to campus will be provided after the talk via the shuttle stop at 380 S. Main St..

The panelists will also host another panel discussion following the results of the election on Tuesday, Nov. 13.

The photo above features an HWS political science panel discussion last year.